Voting intentions poll shows LAB 27% (-3), UKIP 36% (+7),
CON 18% (-3), LIB DEM 10% (+1), OTHER 9% (-2)
The latest TNS European election poll reveals that over the
last three weeks support for UKIP has increased meaning they have now
established a clear lead over Labour.
The percentage of people planning to vote for UKIP now
stands at 36%; an increase of seven percentage points since the last TNS poll
(conducted at the beginning of April). UKIP now have a commanding lead of nine
points over the Labour party, who have dropped down into second with a
projected vote share of 27%.
Looking at this further, we can see that a significant
proportion of the UKIP support is made up of people who did not vote or who
voted for the Conservatives in the 2009 European elections. The former group is
one that might concern Nigel Farage and the UKIP leadership as there is no
guarantee that they will turn out to vote on May 22nd.
The Conservatives remain in third place with 18% of support
(down three points). The Liberal Democrats are in a distant fourth place with
only 10% of people intending to vote for them.
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